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Guideline · 2022-06-05

Market profile opening types

By 2022-06-05

The open gives us early clues to what participants intend, and the faster we recognise it, the less risk we need to take. The four opening types, how to spot each one, and how I trade them.

Open driveOpen test driveOpen rejection reverseOpen auction

The idea

The RTH session starts each day with an official open, when a significant number of orders are completed in a short amount of time. The opening swing and price movement provide crucial information.

The location of the open is crucial, as it influences the type of opening. Openings inside balance are, on the whole, less immediate and tend to be an open auction or an open test. Opens outside of range, on the other hand, are more responsive. When trading outside of range, the market may reach equilibrium after an open auction, but nothing can be predicted. The best tool for finding early signals is price action and tape reading against recognised key markers, to identify an early trading opportunity. This is a skill that takes years to master.

Rejection and support of important prior levels from the open can provide additional information to determine direction early, and by combining simple facts with the initial price action, you can build a structured trade. The earlier we can put our trade plan into action, the smaller our risk.

Why does the open matter? An example. The open can give us early clues to participants' intentions, and therefore the day type. The faster market intention can be recognised, the less risk we need to take to structure a great trade.

Take an open near, but below, the prior day's highs. An impulse up through the prior close tells me buyers are still willing to probe higher to find sellers. A subsequent pull-back to the prior close, where I see absorption from buyers, is a fantastic access point with a very clearly defined point of failure.

How to spot it

Open driveThe market opens (usually below or above the previous day's value range) and trends strongly. When the market begins with an open drive, no prices have traded above or below the open. Identifying features include impulsive moves with little or no pull-back, slicing through key visual reference points with little or no counter-reaction, followed by tight stair-stepping consolidation points.

Open test driveSimilar to an open drive, but before the market drives it quickly tests a significant level on the open, then makes a significantly stronger counter-rotation. The test is usually of some key MGI, such as the prior close or recent highs or lows.

Open rejection reverseThe market attempts to continue in a prior direction, only for a strong opposing force to reverse the auction back the other way. Price opens above or below the previous day's value area but falls back.

Open auctionThe market opens with a lack of momentum in either direction, typified by large, similarly sized counter-rotations that result in little or no movement away from the opening price. This open is easily recognised and tends to be followed by a balanced day. It often happens when the market finds temporary acceptance.

How to trade it

Open driveAs a general rule, it's not a good idea to fade these moves, and ideally you'll identify quickly from early price action that this scenario is playing out. Often after such an aggressive open, the move reaches a support or resistance level and a reversal may occur. A strong reversal pattern is needed to enter a counter-open-drive move.

This is a hard trade to execute, as it's often very abrupt. If you have no plan for this scenario in your daily prep, it's almost impossible to execute and hold with any conviction. A best-practice tip: identify pre-open whether the market structure is likely to test through a key reference point, for example an open near the weekly lows or highs, where larger stops may be lurking.

Open test driveOnce again, this is very hard to trade without pre-market planning. You need to clearly identify the areas where the test may take place, and be mindful of the price action (PA) to recognise the test and the turn that follows.

I'm a big fan of this setup and trade it, as the risk is clearly defined and the PA you're looking for is very specific to the key area. I'm particularly fond of tests of prior closes from opening gaps that are filled and fail within the first few minutes of the open.

Open auctionThese are the bell-curve-shaped profiles where you can scalp or day trade around the edges of the value area: see my balance trading rules.

ConclusionsIt's difficult and risky to monitor multiple instruments at the open, because price moves so quickly. It's best to stick to one product and use other correlated instruments for added conviction.

You need a clear plan and knowledge of the instrument's key reference points, where you can structure a trade. Some simple historical statistical probabilities can really help. Quickly identifying the open and understanding the probabilities of the day's outcomes can be a great skill.

I hope you find this article interesting. If you'd like to learn more about trading with market profile and footprint, visit me on YouTube, where I trade live most days.

Trade well and prosper. BT

Key takeaways

TakeawayThe faster market intention can be recognised at the open, the less risk we need to take to structure a great trade. The earlier we can put our trade plan into action, the smaller our risk.
TakeawayAs a general rule, it's not a good idea to fade an open drive. A strong reversal pattern is needed to enter a counter-open-drive move.
TakeawayPlan the open in your daily prep: identify pre-open whether the market structure is likely to test through a key reference point, for example an open near the weekly lows or highs, where larger stops may be lurking.
TakeawayIt's difficult and risky to monitor multiple instruments at the open. Stick to one product and use other correlated instruments for added conviction.

See it in the journal

Real sessions where this happened, written up on the day.

Auction concepts · 4 of 8
  1. Market profile guidelines and trading balance
  2. Market profile spike and singles guidelines
  3. Understanding market profile day types
  4. Market profile opening types
  5. TPOs, non-excess extremes and profile ledges
  6. How to trade VWAP
  7. Gaps and how to trade them
  8. Trading an inside day, week or month

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